One point. That's all that separates Manchester City and West Ham in the WSL table going into this one – and if that doesn't get you going, nothing will. I've been watching this fixture for years and it always seems to throw up something.
The number that explains this fixture: one point
Per the league table, these two are practically neck and neck. City sit just above West Ham by a single point – and that's the whole story of this match. It's not a title decider, it's not a relegation six-pointer, but it's a proper mid-table scrap where three points could mean the difference between a comfortable spring and a nervy April.
City have been patchy. They'll hammer someone 4-0 and then lose to a team they should beat. West Ham, meanwhile, have been quietly grinding out results – not pretty, but effective. The Hammers have that annoying habit of turning up in games like this.
I'm picking a side here: West Ham. There, I've said it. I just think City are too inconsistent right now, and West Ham's resilience is exactly what you need in a tight away fixture. City might have more quality on paper, but football isn't played on paper.
Key battle: City's midfield vs West Ham's counter-attack
This is where it'll be won or lost. City like to dominate possession – they'll probably see 60% of the ball, maybe more. But West Ham are dangerous on the break. They've got pace out wide and a striker who can finish. If City push too high and leave gaps, West Ham will punish them.
I've seen it happen too many times. City's full-backs bomb forward, the centre-backs step up, and suddenly there's a two-on-two. West Ham's midfield needs to be disciplined – sit deep, win the ball, and release quickly. If they do that, they'll get chances.
City's midfield has been hit and miss this season. When they're on it, they're unplayable. When they're not, they're sloppy in possession and vulnerable to quick transitions. That's the window West Ham need to exploit.
Head-to-head record – City usually edge it, but not always
Historically, City have the better record in this fixture. According to UEFA's historical data, City have won more of the meetings between these two, and they've certainly scored more goals. But West Ham have had their moments – they've taken points off City before, and they won't be intimidated.
The last few meetings have been tight. City won one, West Ham held them to a draw in another, and there was a 2-1 City win that could've gone either way. So it's not a foregone conclusion. West Ham know they can compete with City – they've done it before.
One thing I'll say: City's home form is strong. They don't lose many at home. But West Ham have a habit of raising their game against the bigger teams. It's the classic 'underdog with nothing to lose' scenario.
THE CALL: West Ham to nick a point
I'm calling a draw. 1-1. West Ham will sit deep, soak up pressure, and hit City on the counter. City will have most of the ball but won't be able to break them down. It'll be frustrating for City fans, but that's football.
I know some of you will disagree – City fans especially. You'll point to the quality in the squad and say West Ham are there for the taking. But I've seen City struggle against well-organised teams too many times. West Ham are well-organised. They'll frustrate City and take their chance when it comes.
So there it is. My prediction: 1-1. And I'm not changing my mind. Argue with me all you like – that's what the comments are for.
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Kick-off details haven't been confirmed yet – keep an eye on the clubs' official channels for the announcement.
Where is the match being played?
It's a home game for Manchester City, so it'll be at their usual stadium. Check the club website for confirmation.
How are the teams doing in the WSL this season?
Both sides are in the middle of the table, separated by just one point. City have been inconsistent, while West Ham have been grinding out results.
Who has the better head-to-head record?
Manchester City have historically won more of these meetings, but recent games have been closer.
What's your prediction for the match?
I'm going with a draw – both teams will have their moments, but I don't see a clear winner.